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Holiday Weekend Weather Looking Less Than Ideal

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Posted at 5:46 PM, May 23, 2022
and last updated 2022-05-23 20:55:29-04

The unofficial start of summer is coming up this weekend with the Memorial Day holiday. It usually is rare here in Montana that this weekend is warm and dry, and this year will be no exception. While there still is some time for the forecast to change, right now it is looking likely that there could be significant storm producing rain and heavy mountain snow. This first graphic is of a snow forecast over rain forecast. It looks like a lot of rain and snow. But first, the workweek before we get to the holiday forecast. Tuesday will be partly to mostly sunny with just a few isolated showers and thunderstorms. Most areas will be dry with highs in the 60s to around 70. These numbers will be closer to average but still a few degrees below normal. Wednesday will be a few degrees warmer with highs in the 60s and 70s, but skies will be on the cloudier side for western and central Montana. West to southwest wind could gust up higher than 30-40mph. Thursday will be the week's warmest day with highs in the 70s and 80s. Skies will start out mostly sunny but later in the afternoon scattered thunderstorms will develop. Some of these storms could be severe with strong wind and large hail. Friday is a big travel day ahead of the holiday weekend, and there will be scattered showers and thunderstorms across the state. As a cold front crosses the state, the wind will pick up as well. Highs will be in the 60s west, 70s central, and 80s in eastern Montana. Unfortunately this weekend looks stormy. There will be a few showers around, mainly in the mountains on Saturday. Saturday is probably the driest day over the weekend. Highs will be in the 60s and 70s, and the day does not look terrible. Sunday will have rain and mountain snow increasing through the day. By Sunday afternoon, a lot of Montana could be looking at wet weather. Highs will be down in the 50s and 60s with mostly cloudy or overcast skies. Rain will continue Sunday night with lowering snow levels. Memorial Day will be wet and cool with highs in the 40s and 50s. Significant snow is likely in the mountains. Right now, snow levels could drop to around 5000'. There is potential that wet snowflakes could mix in with rain even lower than that. Be prepared for some wet and cool conditions this weekend, especially if you're heading up into the higher terrain.

Curtis Grevenitz
Chief Meteorologist